Gary_Miller wrote:You can't get anymore accurate than going row by row and counting heads.... Whats hard about going row by row and counting heads?
Not so. For a few weeks I tried. The problem is that some kids are surprisingly hard to spot. Another issue is that many families are coming in and out of sacrament, or are in bathrooms, in the car, in a classroom getting ready, in the library, etc. Another is that many families leave after the sacrament. Another is that many families show up well after the sacrament and just hang out outside until sacrament ends. So for that month, I was constantly walking around the entire building, inspecting every classroom, watching every door, remembering every face, and counting heads as accurately as possible. In Bishopric meeting we compared the cups numbers and my detailed count numbers. The bishopric saw that taking sacrament cups, and adding 10%, was surprisingly accurate. So that's my direction to follow.
Gary_Miller wrote:10% of a 190 would be 19. I seriously doubt any ward has 19 babies at a time, or even 19 people coming in late.
I shared your skepticism. I advocated for just taking the amount of cups and adding 5. The Bishopric tasked me with a very accurate count of heads. Turns out I was wrong, adding 5 isn't enough to be accurate.